Unless you make your living buying and
selling investments, the best thing to do
when markets drop is absolutely nothing!
While it is natural to question the safety of
your investments with fluctuations in the
stock market, it certainly isn’t the time to sell
in fear or worry.
However it is a good time to get honest with
yourself about what you really feel about risk
and to remind yourself what you want your
investments to do for you.
What Caused the Recent Stock Market
Drop?
I asked Kamal Basra,
investment advisor at TD Waterhouse to
give me her thoughts on the recent market
dip: “A policy change in China to
tighten security laws to clean up the stock
exchange caused a 10%
drop in their stock market which
triggered a chain reaction in other
countries including Canada and the US. The
stock market is cyclical and we've just had
four strong years of earnings and growth so
the markets were actually overdue for a
pullback - in some ways China was just the
excuse."
Should investors do anything when the
stock market starts dropping?
Kamal says this is a great time to
review the mix of investments in your
portfolio, to take some profits and to re-align
your portfolio with your risk tolerance. But it
isn't the time to make drastic changes.
Marcela McBurney, portfolio manager at
Leith Wheeler Investment Counsel
agrees: "Changing your focus
when the stock market starts to drop is not
something we recommend to clients. This is
called market timing and can often prove
costly. Remember, the stock market can
drop dramatically and quickly, but it can also
turn around just as quickly. Some of the best
market gains can happen in just a few days."
What do you expect will happen in the
markets?
Kamal feels the markets are showing
caution and there may be more dips on the
horizon, but over the long run stocks are still
expected to outperform bonds and cash.
Marcela expects that, over time stocks
will return in the 8-10% range and bonds in
the 4-5% range.
So according to
the experts, as
long as time is on your side and you can
handle the bumps along the way,
it still makes sense to include stocks or
stock mutual funds in your portfolio.
Here are some ways you can protect
yourself during market
downturns:
1.
Stay Alert
It isn’t necessary for you to become a stock
market expert, but having some basic
knowledge of the markets puts what’s
happening in your individual investments into
perspective. This will help you feel more
confident and secure that you are making
good decisions with your
money.
2. Match your investments to your goals
One of the reasons people panic when the
markets drop is that they are relying on the
money for a short term goal. As a rule of
thumb, if your goals are to save for a house
downpayment or an emergency fund and
you need the money in less than 2 years,
you’re best to invest in cash type
investments like Guaranteed Investments
Certificates (GICs), savings accounts or
money market mutual funds. Bonds can be
added to the mix if you have 3 to 7 years
before you need the money. Only add
stocks or stock mutual funds to your
investment plan if your goal is retirement or
some other goal that’s at least 7 to 10 years
away.
3. Take the emotion out of
investing
While investing isn’t an exact science,
building a simple investment program
called “Ideal Asset Allocation” will help
you
make money when markets are up and as
importantly, will help protect your savings
when markets fall. Asset allocation simply
means allocating a percentage of your
investments into cash, bonds or stock
investments. Remember your asset
allocation must reflect when you will need
money for your goals and your risk
tolerance, not what's happening in the
markets. For instance, your asset
allocation might be 100% cash investments
for goals like a house down payment or
emergency fund. Or, if your goal is
retirement and you are comfortable with
taking some risk, your asset allocation might
look something like 40% bonds and 60%
stocks.
4. Dollar Cost Averaging
While the ups and downs in the market
might be uncomfortable, volatility can
actually be a good thing. Let’s say you invest
$200 in a stock mutual fund in your RSP
every month. If the market dips on the day
you invest, you will be able to buy more
shares/units with your $200 that day. If the
market goes up the next month, your $200
buys fewer shares/units at the higher price.
Over time, this strategy can help lower the
overall cost of investing in stocks or mutual
funds.
5. Rebalance Your Portfolio
You will need to revisit your ideal portfolio at
least once a year and rebalance your
investments to your original Ideal Asset
Allocation. Remember, your Ideal
Asset
Allocation should only change because
your
goals, time frame or risk tolerance changes –
not because the market changes. Changes
in the market can cause your investments in
stocks or bonds to become too large a
percentage of your holdings which increases
your risk. So if your Ideal Asset Allocation
is
40% bonds, 60% stocks and your holdings
are now 30% bonds and 70% stocks, sell
10% of your stocks and buy bonds to bring
you back into balance. You’ll be selling high
and buying low, something that may feel
hard to do, but it’s a winning investment
strategy.
6. Are you really a Do-it-Yourselfer?
Do you really have the time, interest or
energy to manage your portfolio on your
own? Yes, you will pay fees or commissions
when you invest with a broker, investment
adviser or financial planner, but if they can
help you achieve your goals, isn’t this money
well spent?
7. Educate yourself
Even if you work with an investment advisor
that you trust, it’s important that
you "delegate not abdicate responsibility" for
your money. By learning the language of
investing and some of the basics, you will
feel more secure and in control of your
money and you’ll be in a much better position
to achieve your goals.
Register now for "Financial Markets -
What's
Really Going on?" to hear
more about Marcela and Kamal’s views on
the markets and how they manage money
for their clients.